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Nixa, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Nixa MO
National Weather Service Forecast for: Nixa MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Springfield, MO
Updated: 11:15 pm CDT Jul 5, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light southwest wind.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Sunday

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Heat index values as high as 93. West wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms

Monday

Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Heat index values as high as 93. Light west wind.
Chance
T-storms

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind.
Partly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Chance
T-storms

Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Mostly Sunny
then Showers
Likely
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Partly Cloudy

Lo 71 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 69 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Overnight
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light southwest wind.
Sunday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Heat index values as high as 93. West wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Monday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Heat index values as high as 93. Light west wind.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.
Tuesday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Friday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Nixa MO.

Weather Forecast Discussion
065
FXUS63 KSGF 060451
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1151 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the area
  this afternoon and evening.

- More widespread shower and thunderstorm chances (50-70%)
  Sunday afternoon and evening. Localized heavy rainfall may
  accompany this activity.

- Additional rain chances (20-60%) Monday through Friday of
  next week. Highest chances in the afternoon and evenings.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 132 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

A breakdown of the upper-level ridge has allowed for the
development of a handful of scattered small showers across the
forecast area this afternoon, which are expected to continue
through the evening hours. Guidance depicts MUCAPE values
topping out between 1000-2000 J/kg this afternoon, particularly
along and east of Highway 65 where cloud cover has been less
prevalent. Some updrafts may get tall enough to produce
lightning, though very weak shear will limit the longevity of
any particular storm. We have left low-end PoPs (20-40%) in the
forecast overnight as some CAMs suggest this activity festers
through this period.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 132 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Sunday:
Sunday features the highest precipitation chances of the
forecast period, with 50-70% PoPs in the afternoon and evening.
As the slow-moving upper-level disturbance transits the region,
moisture convergence ahead of a diffuse cold front will spur
more widespread convective initiation across the forecast area.
Diurnal heating is progged to push afternoon MUCAPE values into
the 2500-3500 J/kg range with 0-3 km theta-e differences of
20-25 deg C, which may allow for a few stronger storms capable
of producing small hail and wind gusts up to 40-50 mph. Shear
still looks to be limited again, so individual storms will
struggle to stay organized. PWATs in the 1.6-2.0" range will
allow for efficient rainfall, and slow storm motions may allow
for locally heavy rainfall. Widespread flooding is not expected,
however.

Monday-Friday:
Little change to the ensemble suite was noted for the long-term
forecast; that is, a quasi-zonal flow pattern aloft with
transient embedded shortwave disturbances will allow for
intermittent rain chances throughout the week. NBM percentiles
support climatologically average temperatures each day, with
highs in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

VFR flight conditions through tonight. Increasing chances for
scattered showers and thunderstorms through Sunday afternoon
into the evening. Periods of MVFR to IFR flight conditions as a
result of reduced visibilities and ceilings. Winds out of
southwest at 5 to 10 knots.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Didio
LONG TERM...Didio
AVIATION...Perez
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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